Thursday, November 1, 2012

GBP/USD Analysis 01-11-2012

GBP/USD

 The pound strengthened for a second day against the dollar amid speculation the Bank of England will refrain from adding monetary stimulus to the economy when policy makers meet next week. Sterling gained versus 15 of its 16 major peers after the Swiss National Bank said it boosted the amount of pounds in its foreign-exchange reserves. The U.K. central bank will announce on Nov. 8 whether it will raise its asset-purchase target from 375 billion pounds ($604 billion) after data last week showed gross domestic product grew 1 percent last quarter as the economy emerged from a recession. U.K. 10-year gilts dropped for a second day. There are expectations for monetary policy to be less loose and that does support sterling, said Raghav Subbarao, a foreign-exchange strategist at Barclays Plc in London. The U.K. GDP last week indicated the underlying trend is much stronger. The SNB's decision to increase its holdings was a slight surprise, he said. The pound rose 0.3 percent to $1.6113 at 4:22 p.m. London time after appreciating 0.3 percent yesterday. Sterling rose for the first time in four days against the euro, gaining 0.2 percent to 80.45 pence after dropping 0.5 percent over the previous three days. Barclays predicts that sterling will strengthen to $1.65 by year-end, Subbarao said. The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee voted 9-0 to keep its bond-purchase target unchanged at its Oct. 3-4 meeting, according to the minutes released on Oct. 17. Some members questioned the magnitude of the impact that lower long-term yields on corporate debt and equity would have on the broader economy, the minutes showed.

 
Support
Resistance
GBP/USD
1.60475
1.61179
1.60223
1.61631
1.59771
1.61883


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